Treasury Wine (Germany) Performance

T7W Stock  EUR 2.89  0.11  3.96%   
The entity has a beta of -0.49, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Treasury Wine are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Treasury Wine is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Treasury Wine Estates has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to validate Treasury Wine's maximum drawdown, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and skewness , to decide if Treasury Wine Estates performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Treasury Wine Estates has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0812
Payout Ratio
0.7244
Forward Dividend Rate
0.23
Ex Dividend Date
2025-08-27
1
Treasury Wine Estates hit by major US write-down - The Drinks Business
12/01/2025
2
Treasury Wine Estates Reaches New 1-Year Low - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
12/18/2025
3
Is Treasury Wine Estates Limited stock undervalued after correction - Market Volume Report Daily Growth Stock Investment Tips - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
4
Can this ASX 200 stock recover after losing 51 - MSN
01/15/2026
5
Treasury Wine Estates Shares Up 8.1 percent - Heres Why - MarketBeat
01/20/2026
6
Treasury Wine Estates stock downgraded to Sell by UBS on industry challenges - Investing.com
02/06/2026
7
Treasury Wine settles US dispute as shares surge - The Drinks Business
02/11/2026
8
Treasury Wine Estates Is Down 11.4 percent After US Impairment, Dividend Halt And Cost Reset Has The Bull Case Changed - simplywall.st
02/17/2026
  

Treasury Wine Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  323.00  in Treasury Wine Estates on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (34.00) from holding Treasury Wine Estates or give up 10.53% of portfolio value over 90 days. Treasury Wine Estates is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 3.2312% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 29% of traded stocks are less volatile than Treasury, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Treasury Wine is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Treasury Wine Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Treasury Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.89 90 days 2.89 
about 87.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Treasury Wine to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.15 (This Treasury Wine Estates probability density function shows the probability of Treasury Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Treasury Wine Estates has a beta of -0.49. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Treasury Wine are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Treasury Wine Estates is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Treasury Wine Estates has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Treasury Wine Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Treasury Wine

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Treasury Wine Estates. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.735.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.415.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.725.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.072.955.97
Details

Treasury Wine Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Treasury Wine is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Treasury Wine's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Treasury Wine Estates, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Treasury Wine within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Treasury Wine Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Treasury Wine for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Treasury Wine Estates can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Treasury Wine generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Treasury Wine has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: Treasury Wine Estates Is Down 11.4 percent After US Impairment, Dividend Halt And Cost Reset Has The Bull Case Changed - simplywall.st

Treasury Wine Fundamentals Growth

Treasury Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Treasury Wine, and Treasury Wine fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Treasury Stock performance.

About Treasury Wine Performance

By analyzing Treasury Wine's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Treasury Wine's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Treasury Wine has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Treasury Wine has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Treasury Wine Estates Limited operates as a wine company in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, Europe, and the Americas. The company was founded in 1843 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia. TREASURY WINE operates under Beverages - Wineries Distilleries classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 3500 people.

Things to note about Treasury Wine Estates performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Treasury Wine for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Treasury Wine Estates help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Treasury Wine generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Treasury Wine has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: Treasury Wine Estates Is Down 11.4 percent After US Impairment, Dividend Halt And Cost Reset Has The Bull Case Changed - simplywall.st
Evaluating Treasury Wine's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Treasury Wine's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Treasury Wine's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Treasury Wine's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Treasury Wine's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Treasury Wine's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Treasury Wine's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Treasury Wine's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Treasury Wine's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Treasury Wine's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Treasury Wine's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Treasury Stock analysis

When running Treasury Wine's price analysis, check to measure Treasury Wine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Treasury Wine is operating at the current time. Most of Treasury Wine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Treasury Wine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Treasury Wine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Treasury Wine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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